Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.601078 1.736916 1.880881 2.045157 2.227827 2.425175 2.655121
2026-01-04 1.414868 1.604193 1.816320 2.072914 2.376628 2.726798 3.164180
2026-01-11 1.292310 1.513583 1.771959 2.098637 2.504482 2.997163 3.648339
2026-01-18 1.200127 1.442507 1.735090 2.118645 2.614721 3.243828 4.116992
2026-01-25 1.120301 1.375863 1.693053 2.121818 2.695900 3.452251 4.548723
2026-02-01 1.034622 1.293223 1.621612 2.076991 2.704752 3.559217 4.845604
2026-02-08 0.967506 1.228570 1.566982 2.047279 2.727366 3.681525 5.170104
2026-02-15 0.915218 1.179222 1.528040 2.033965 2.768700 3.829792 5.543306
2026-02-22 0.888267 1.161570 1.529778 2.075900 2.890162 4.102446 6.133506
2026-03-01 0.846380 1.120494 1.495849 2.063135 2.928059 4.249837 6.536354
2026-03-08 0.803422 1.075290 1.452992 2.033525 2.936687 4.350156 6.868571
2026-03-15 0.753622 1.017733 1.389066 1.967851 2.883618 4.345876 7.017621
2026-03-22 0.727628 0.993623 1.373197 1.975275 2.948366 4.542304 7.550371
2026-03-29 0.707280 0.976612 1.366702 1.996472 3.036542 4.785361 8.198486
2026-04-05 0.689060 0.961657 1.362173 2.019945 3.129475 5.043969 8.908282
2026-04-12 0.671018 0.945932 1.355357 2.038806 3.215244 5.296629 9.638641
2026-04-19 0.650459 0.925311 1.339699 2.041788 3.273017 5.502466 10.299512
2026-04-26 0.620806 0.889394 1.298237 1.999057 3.246266 5.546734 10.621360
2026-05-03 0.596374 0.860513 1.266502 1.970732 3.242988 5.634690 11.048888
2026-05-10 0.576873 0.838517 1.244720 1.958039 3.267082 5.777587 11.619014
2026-05-17 0.569525 0.835335 1.253118 1.998015 3.391944 6.133097 12.737636
2026-05-24 0.552047 0.815229 1.232752 1.985848 3.416325 6.284298 13.385264
2026-05-31 0.532420 0.790911 1.204334 1.957619 3.407377 6.364220 13.865794